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Chinese beef cattle bred an industry to invest the market to study time of net of viewpoint China agriculture 2012: 2012-9-13 16:45:00 origin: 114 nets read Chinese animal drug several: 391 　 since reforming and opening, stock raising has become domain of our country agriculture to increase one of the fastest properties, and bovine aquaculture is one of industries ghd hair straightener with the rapiddest growth in chanel stock raising. The beef cattle course of study of our country used the time that does not arrive 30 years only, basically offer the underdeveloped domestic avocation of animal power to grow line of business from, development becomes the trade with a huge dimensions to taste course of study of sexual beef cattle. The huge success that place of course of study of our country beef cattle gains, make scholar of a few abroad look at with new eyes. But, in last few years, honest all previous wears course of study of our country beef cattle to arrive by growth rate rein in the awkward situation of negative growth. The Central Plains beef cattle that 4 provinces of Shandong, Henan, Anhui, Heibei are our country tradition is taken, 2000, in this area, quantity of arrogant amount of livestock on hand achieves 30 million, 40% what yielding beef takes the throughout chanel bags the country. However, in recent years, the amount is in the beef cattle amount of livestock on hand of this area to drop quickly however. Tall, benefit differs because cost is big, periodic long, risk, animal husbandry is saved greatly in recent years more and more raising bovine door must choose to abandon, many butcher cow causes tension /ghd-straighteners-jockey-box-of-fire/ of source of the ox on the market, calf ox rises in price, breed cost to be climbed ceaselessly litre. Because industry whole is stagnant, downstream enterprise is reduced in succession buy the price, more bring about raise a filling column enthusiasm to fall to the end of cereal, whole industry forms vicious circle, china becomes beef probably to import a country completely. The 2012-2016 that Chinese industry studies to the net releases year Chinese beef cattle breeds an industry to invest analysis and deepness research to seek advice from a report: In undertaking to Chinese beef demand forecast an analysis for a long time, the result makes clear: Consumption of Chinese home average per capita and demand gross will be achieved respectively 2020 9. 42 kilograms mix 14.01 million tons, demand of average per capita and quantity of total demand will be achieved respectively 2030 10. 43 kilograms mix 16.46 million tons, by output of Chinese home beef was 2008 613. 20 thousand tons of computation, if import depend on sb or sth for existence to spend for 5% , mixed 2020 breach of the beef on Chinese market will was respectively 2030 717. 80 thousand tons with 950. 50 thousand tons. Research organization of general China trade grinds to express in, in recent years, the development of course of study of our country beef cattle gets attention, central finance throws year after year to increase. Include a beef cattle to standardize dimensions farm (village) thoroughbred allowance, straw raises construction investment project, beef cattle bovine investment project. In the meantime, various places also increases policy to give aid to strength advances transition of strategy of industry of local beef cattle in succession, if Sichuan saves year of investment,many yuan 3000 begin high grade beef cattle thoroughbred breed system and base construction; are in a series of giving aid to that the guiding of policy falls, the development of course of study of our country beef cattle obtained apparent effect, manufacturing system is progressively and perfect, science and technology props up ability to be strengthened gradually, bibcock enterprise drives action to be highlighted increasingly, beef produces per year a quantity to be located in world front row for a long time. And as economic progress and national standard of living rise ceaselessly, our country consumer asks to showing promotion to the character of beef, product of high grade and high-grade beef consumes the market to present a situation that demand exceeds supply in our country. The import volume of our country refrigerant beef was amounted to 2010 2. 370 thousand tons, grow 67 than going up one year. 4% , announced the huge potential of demand of market of our country beef. Accordingly, 925 ” of “ period, space of development of estate of our country beef cattle is infinite and vast, it is enlarge quantity carries qualitative pivotal transition period. On the other hand, course of study of beef cattle of current our country also is existing a lot of problem, if number of beef cattle amount of livestock on hand glides continuously, the farmer raises a cattle economic benefits is lag of construction of system of low, thoroughbred breed, miniature come loose low-levelly raise means proportion safety of quality of product of bigger, beef superintends strength to contraband a phenomenon fragily, illegally serious; at the same time, dimensions breed aquatics uses the land financing is difficult, difficult wait for a problem to also be formed to the development of beef cattle course of study manacle badly, these adverse elements also made the grim challenge that is placed before course of study of Chinese beef cattle, it is the task that 925 ” period must solve “ . 2009-2012 China beef cattle breeds manufacturing current situation to although go up,invest an analysis industry of beef cattle of 90 time our country grows the century faster, but in recent years price of our country feed is climbed ceaselessly litre, especially the price that corn, beans dregses of rice rises bigger, the raise nurturance that brings about an ox rises originally, farmer raises arrogant accrual to drop, the enthusiasm that raise a cattle gets /chanel-handbags-let-new-car-show-ve/ bigger blow; in addition farmer tradition raises a cattle main battle is used hold the flesh concurrently to use, as degree of mechanization of farming rise, battle decreases quickly with bovine breed aquatics. To 2010 world live cattle put column quantity to rise 2000 8. 67% , and amount of livestock on hand of live cattle of our country of the corresponding period is measured from 12, 353. 20 thousand drop 10, 626. 40 thousand, drop scale is 13. 98% . Countrywide each district all differs the occurrence of degree ” of “ Niu Huang. The 　 of total supply situation of ① beef came 2000 our country beef produced per year a quantity to grow more than tons 140 2010, take the flesh kind the proportion of total output also rises to 8. 24% , but the growth of beef output is not to originate the growth that live cattle raises an amount, come from what give column rate at butcher to rise however. Measured to a column with our country arrogant 2010 work 2000 by 3, 8.06 million rise to 4, 7 million, the corresponding period of; of rate of growth of amount of livestock on hand of the corresponding period of outclass of speed giving column gives column to lead by 29. 98% rise to 43. 82% , exceed the world average security of 25% badly to give column level. Those who give column rate is unreasonable rise, although short-term inside can increase beef supply, but long-term and character quickened what amount of livestock on hand of ox of our country work measures to drop, damaged the basis —— Niu Yuan that beef industry grows, restricted what beef of our country future produces an industry to be able to develop continuously thereby. Output of beef of our country of the last few years wanders in 6 million tons of —650 all the time 10 thousand tons between, the aggravation that live cattle breeds a circumstance brought about beef output growth is apparently lack of power, latent capacity of beef follow-up supply is insufficient. ② is intermediate the market supply situation of beef is intermediate the supply of beef or high grade beef basically originates manufacturing technology is advanced, wholesome the butcher of good, normal beef cattle that has complete butcher facility machines the condition enterprise. General China data grinds in the basis, the total production value of industry of domestic beef treatment was achieved 2008 1, 70 billion yuan, and the total production value of company of treatment of butcher of normal beef cattle is 40 billion yuan about, those who guard the beef output that judges normal butcher enterprise to hold beef total output 20% the left and right sides. The farm that company of normal beef cattle butcher does not have him normally or farm dimensions are lesser cannot satisfy butcher requirement, its work is arrogant outside basically originating, buy. Accordingly, the large butcher business that produces high grade beef faces problem of ” of “ Niu Huang likewise, produce can utilization rate is not worth badly, according to 2008-2009 of association of Chinese stock raising year year of industry of our country beef cattle considers to report, the yield of the facility of butcher of large butcher enterprise that accepted survey 2008 can utilization rate is in 20% the left and right sides. Here setting falls, what manufacturing company satisfies high grade beef to grow increasingly hard is intermediate beef market demand, the high grade beef of the contemporary sale channel such as the supermarket breaks goods phenomenon to often happen, the supply of intermediate and high grade beef on the market slants close insufficient even. While the growth of supply of beef of whole nation of market supply situation of ③ high-grade beef is lack of power, the market of high-grade beef is supplied more nervous. Outside dividing homebred and high-grade beef, our country high end still has abroad to import high-grade beef and partial smuggling beef on beef market. Long-term since, our country is having strict control to the import trade of beef, system of executive beef import licence, only a few enterprise imports beef and beef goods permissibly inside the industry. From angle of epidemic situation pilot, our country prohibits strictly from beginning to end importing live cattle or beef from country of epidemic disease area, especially once foreign relevant country has the contagious disease case such as disease of foot-and-mouth disease, mad ox to appear, national quality is supervised examine the branch such as quarantine total bureau, Ministry of Agriculture is released instantly prohibit from now on kind the announcement of the relevant product such as national entrance beef, like the announcement that passes into our country what released in April 2010 about preventing Japanese foot-and-mouth disease. Although our country restored conditionally to be imported to the beef of partial country 2010, but also set examine strictly condition and entrance condition. The policy of beef entrance control with rigid country brought about our country all the time since beef entrance amount is very small (be not worth 20 thousand tons of) , the entrance beef that enters a country permissibly basically is centered in a few a few countries such as Australia, New Zealand, entrance beef furnishs to market of our country high-grade beef the influence is finite. Study the report shows, current, the production of domestic high-grade beef is in start level, the quantity of amount of livestock on hand of high-grade beef cattle and quantity giving column is less, beef cattle of Dalian snow dragon, earth, Heng Yang is only arrogant a few ghd enterprise such as black ox of course of study, Jilin has the capacity that produces high-grade beef. The crop of homebred and high-grade beef is far still cannot satisfy market demand, each main business place holds market share lesser. Because foreign main beef produces a country to explode ceaselessly,send the epidemic situation such as mad ox disease, foot-and-mouth disease in recent years especially, our country is restricted from time to tome to be being imported from the beef of these countries, and increase the strength of blow smuggling beef ceaselessly, contraband beef drop off, bring about high-grade beef product more close spruce. 2012-2016 is produced per year can the trend forecasts 　 1, output of our country beef forecasted flesh of flocks and herds 2012 is our country the main consumption flesh outside dividing pork kind product, current, demand of pork of our country flocks and herds increases a current quickly. After in our country executive zoology is protected and banning herd to return careless policy, contradiction of supply and demand is increasingly outstanding. According to concerning sectional analysis, our country aquaculture is fluctuant and acuteness 2010, among them beef cattle breed aquatics begins to enter slow resume a course; and compared 2009, 2010 output of our country beef 5.3 million tons, drop compared to the same period 9% . Amount of livestock on hand of sheep of our country flesh restored basically 2010, hotpot crop 4.1 million tons, rise compared to the same period 5% . At present consumption of beef of our country average per capita is 4. 7 kilograms or so, this and consumption of world average per capita make an appointment with 10 kilograms level photograph to compare, still put in the difference of about 1 times. This is the main reason that domestic beef consumes gross to will grow quickly. 2011 output of our country beef 6.48 million tons, research organization of general China trade grinds to predict 7 million tons output of beef of end our country will be adjacent 2012 in. 2, global beef output forecasted 　 2012 trend of world beef total output was forecasted 2012 will keep relatively changeless, big appointment produces 56.8 million tons (body is heavy) beef. According to the message of American Ministry of Agriculture, in trading with the market of birds course of study in world stock raising, the decrement that the crop increment of India, Brazil, Argentina and Australia will offset American beef is produced. As a result of the addition that the improvement of grazing field environment and fodder supply, the dominant position that Australian production business already began to use season will rebuild grass. Although arrogant 2012 a body is heavy may slight drop, but because high yield is measured, trend of Australia beef output is forecasted will grow 2% compared to the same period, amount to 2.2 million tons of body to weigh. Because Yo becomes an ox to supply insecurity and calf amount to go low to cause tendency of American beef output continuously,forecast will drop compared to the same period 5% , amount to 11.5 million tons. But crop of American beef reductive will by India (increase 7% , to 3.3 million tons of) , brazil (increase 2% , reach 9.2 million tons) with Argentina (increase 4% , reach 2.5 million tons) the increment that waits for a country will make up for. In the whole world of strong demand drive, especially the demand of southeast Asia, middle east and North America, beef production gross is in the trend was forecasted 2012 can increase 5% , amount to 8.2 million tons (body weighs) . According to the statistic of American Ministry of Agriculture, because Indian beef has an advantage more on the price, india (export 1.28 million tons) will hold the half left and right sides that the whole world exported increment 2012. Although having relatively driving bay yuan exchange rate and strong domestic demand, but the addition of Australia beef output makes export trend forecasts its beef to also can increase moderately 2012, will export about 1.38 million tons (body is heavy) beef. Brazilian beef exit will be amounted to 2012 137. 50 thousand tons, and the United States will export 1.25 million tons (body is heavy) beef. 2012, russia will become world beef to import the biggest country again, the trend is forecasted will import 1.06 million tons (body is heavy) beef, be on second is the United States, entrance 94. 80 thousand tons, japan is country of triple feed inlet, will import 72. 50 thousand tons beef. ------------------------------------------------

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